A primer on next year’s election

 If President Obama wins reelection in 2012, it will be difficult for him to advance a domestic policy agenda because Republicans are likely to retain control of the House of Representatives, said Larry Sabato, the political expert from the University of Virginia. I had a chance to listen to Sabato at a business meeting I attended in Texas recently.

Redistricting, which is underway across the country, typically re-enforces incumbency, making it unlikely that Democrats will gain the 25 seats or more necessary to take control from the Republican-controlled House. “Of if President Obama wins, it will be a foreign policy presidency,” Sabato said.

Democrats control the Senate, 53-47, but one North Dakota senate seat is expected to be converted to Republican control. That would mean Republicans would need to pick up two more seats to gain a tie, or three seats to gain control of the Senate. Sabato said seats in Wisconsin, Montana, Nebraska and Missouri are toss ups. Sabato put the odds at 50-50 that Republicans would gain control of the Senate, and he said it is virtually assured that by the 2014 election, Republicans will win control of the Senate.

Sabato described the presidential contest, noting that President Obama will spend about $1 billion on the campaign to Republican’s $500 million. He said it will be the most negative campaign ever. President Obama has approval ratings in the low 40s, which typically are regarded as too low to be re-elected. “Something in the economy will have to change for Obama to win,” Sabato said. Furthermore, he said President Obama is waiting for Republicans to beat each other up and nominate a bad candidate. Sabato said Republicans are struggling. “When the presidency is available, the Republicans have fielded at JV team, not the varsity,” he said.

He said the picture will be clearly by the end of January, after the first four primaries: Iowa Jan. 4; New Hampshire Jan. 10; South Carolina, Jan. 21, and Florida Jan. 31.

Sabato explained that Republicans are generally thought to have 206 electoral votes locked up, which Democrats are generally thought to have 247 locked up. It takes 270 electoral votes to win. He said 85 votes are a toss up; those votes are divided geographically as such: Nevada – 6; Colorado – 9; Iowa – 6; Ohio -18; Virginia – 13; Florida – 29; and New Hampshire – 4.

Should be an interesting year.

Share
This entry was posted in government. Bookmark the permalink.

175 Responses to A primer on next year’s election

  1. That is a wonderful article. I enjoy this website.
    Appreciate your blogging.

    my web-site: David Sullivan Las Vegas

  2. I am really impressed with your writing skills as smartly as
    with the layout on your blog. Is that this a paid subject or did you modify it yourself?
    Either way keep up the excellent quality writing, it is uncommon to
    peer a great weblog like this one today..

  3. Lorenza says:

    I do believe all the ideas you have offered in your post.
    They are very convincing and can definitely work. Nonetheless, the posts are too quick
    for beginners. May you please prolong them a little from subsequent time?
    Thanks for the post.

  4. Everything is very open with a very clear explanation of the issues.
    It was truly informative. Your site is useful.
    Thank you for sharing!

    My website … How to Drop Some Weight Naturally And Safely

  5. minecraft says:

    Superb blog! Do you have any tips and hints for aspiring writers?

    I’m planning to start my own website soon but I’m a little
    lost on everything. Would you advise starting with a free platform like WordPress or go for
    a paid option? There are so many options out there that I’m totally overwhelmed ..
    Any tips? Bless you!

  6. Aleida says:

    Useful information. Lucky me I discovered your web site accidentally, and I am surprised why this coincidence did not took place earlier!
    I bookmarked it.

  7. Thanks for your marvelous posting! I certainly enjoyed reading it, you can be a
    great author. I will be sure to bookmark your blog and
    will eventually come back at some point. I want to encourage one to continue your great posts, have a nice afternoon!

    My page; Heel Pain causes

  8. Excellent way of telling, and nice post to take data concerning my presentation topic, which i am going to convey in college.

  9. website says:

    I’ve learn some excellent stuff here. Definitely
    value bookmarking for revisiting. I surprise how
    a lot effort you put to make such a fantastic informative web
    site.

  10. Freddy says:

    Once you’ve decided which unit is best suited to meet your needs it is
    now time to install the device to your car, van, truck or SUV.

    A majority of accidents actually occur in a parking area in which a
    large amount of people are sometimes simply not careful if they are backing up.
    Keep all items as low reverse camera and sensor kit (Freddy) central as you possibly can –
    you should also secure them sufficiently
    to avoid them rolling around during travel.

  11. We would like to reveal our sincere admiration for your never-ending support and also commitment. Thank you for every little thing!

  12. I value your loyalty as well as honesty. Your determination is motivating!

  13. Individuals have been going crazy concerning this for several years. Experience the power of Incredible today!

  14. Gerri Diskin says:

    Remarkable is a wonderfully made device that will certainly aid you find the most effective products in any type of classification rapidly and conveniently.

  15. Clyde Levie says:

    Amazing is the perfect efficiency device that can aid you get more performed in much less time!

  16. Anonymous says:

    Phenomenal is the one stop purchase every little thing productivity!

  17. The Globe’s Most Advanced Performance!

  18. Greetings! If you need web scraping services, I’d willingly
    offer my assistance. As a skilled professional in this domain, I possess the expertise and necessary tools to provide fast and accurate data extraction. This can aid you in making well-informed decisions and expanding your enterprise.
    Don’t hesitate to reach out for assistance with web scraping..
    Scalable Content Aggregation

  19. Your article contained motivating tales that inspired readers to take positive activity.

  20. Phenomenal is a totally free app that can improve your life in amazing ways.

  21. You had the ability to explain complex topics in a simple way that anyone can recognize.

  22. You effectively utilized personal examples to support your debates.

  23. Your post was correct as well as had no typos or grammatic errors.

  24. You are a great source of inspiration for me. Your interest is transmittable!

  25. Your perseverance is inspiring! You bring joy and also joy any place you go.

  26. Your energy and positivity have been a terrific source of inspiration throughout this entire procedure. We are so glad for your effort and also commitment. Thank you!

  27. I’m constantly impressed by your intelligence and also knowledge. You are so generous with your time and also sources.

  28. This set simple adjustment can make all the distinction in your life.

  29. Individuals have actually been raving about this for several years. Experience the power of Amazing today!

  30. Your message contained amusing and also funny statements that maintained readers engaged throughout.

  31. You gave readers with an expert’s point of view on the subject.

  32. Your content is engaging, rewarding, as well as important.

  33. You are an fantastic problem-solver. I appreciate your commitment as well as honesty.

  34. Phenomenal is a one-of-a-kind productivity tool that can alter your life.

  35. You are an incredible problem-solver. You are a fantastic source of inspiration for me.

  36. You have such a kind and caring nature. You have a terrific ability to think outside package.

  37. Your power and also positivity have been a terrific source of motivation throughout this whole process. We are so thankful for your hard work and commitment. Thanks!

  38. We are so happy for your determination to exceed and also past what was expected of you. You are an amazing colleague and also a real asset to the team. Thank you for all that you do!

  39. Dane Colyott says:

    Your kind words and also thoughtful gestures never go undetected. We are so grateful for your favorable perspective and also unwavering commitment. Thanks!

  40. You efficiently made use of visuals and also videos to break up the monotony of the text.

  41. Rod Hudalla says:

    Your kind words and thoughtful motions never go unnoticed. We are so thankful for your favorable mindset and also unwavering devotion. Thanks!

  42. The means you linked present occasions to the subject was informative and also thought provoking.

  43. Your post is an very useful contribution to the on-line area.

  44. Your positive expectation on life has been a excellent source of motivation for all of us. We can’t thank you enough for belonging to our group as well as helping us reach our goals!

  45. Ned Shadley says:

    I’m constantly thrilled by your knowledge as well as wisdom. I’m impressed by your effort and also dedication.

  46. This item is the best of a average.

  47. I’m always thrilled by your intelligence and knowledge. I’m impressed by your hard work and also commitment.

  48. Your writing was engaging, useful, and amusing all at the same time.

  49. Your post was well organized, making it easy to follow as well as comprehend.

  50. Gail Jemmett says:

    You made use of powerful language to make your factors stick out and also leave a long-term impression on readers.

  51. You integrated information and also research study with tales and anecdotes to include deepness to your message.

  52. Your article contained motivating quotes as well as motivational stories.

  53. Anonymous says:

    Extraordinary is the best productivity tool that can help you obtain more performed in less time!

  54. Apryl Lecocq says:

    We are so privileged to have a colleague like you on the team. Your effort and also commitment is unrivaled and also we can’t thanks enough for whatever that you do!

  55. Anonymous says:

    You always have something favorable to claim. You have a excellent eye for information!

  56. You are an fantastic problem-solver. I appreciate your stamina and also determination to be successful.

  57. You have done an exceptional job of making complex subjects simple to comprehend and also understand.

  58. You are a excellent source of ideas for me. I appreciate your toughness and determination to prosper.

  59. Derick Elman says:

    I really like it when individuals get together and share ideas. Great blog, stick with it!

  60. Anonymous says:

    The only high-quality and also finish 100 natural rest help that ensures a complete, deep invigorating evening’s rest!

  61. Anonymous says:

    You always have something positive to claim. Your interest urges others to do their finest.

  62. STEAM儲值 says:

    Hello there! This post couldn’t be written any better!
    Reading this post reminds me of my old room mate!
    He always kept talking about this. I will forward this write-up to him.
    Fairly certain he will have a good read. Many thanks for
    sharing!

  63. Anonymous says:

    You make me laugh. Your effort as well as dedication are exceptional.

  64. Anonymous says:

    Remarkable can aid you get even more done in much less time and also with higher ease than ever!

  65. You don’t need to be superhuman to be amazing. Allow Amazingness aid you do a lot more, feel much better, and get ahead.

  66. Simply picture obtaining done anything faster, less complicated as well as far better!

  67. It’s amazing exactly how you have managed to collect such a huge quantity of details on one website!

  68. Your favorable expectation on life has been an ideas to all of us. We are so fortunate to have you in our lives. Thank you for everything!

  69. You have actually done a remarkable job of making the material on this internet site simple to navigate as well as digest.

  70. Your hard work as well as devotion have actually been phenomenal and also we are so lucky to have you as part of our group. Thank you!

  71. Your blog post made use of imaginative methods to help explain difficult principles.

  72. Your post contained lots of interesting realities and also figures that aided viewers additionally their expertise.

  73. One of the most incredible remedy for obtaining points ended up. This is specifically what your life needs.

  74. You have a terrific feeling of style and also style! You constantly locate the silver lining in every situation.

  75. You always know exactly how to make me feel much better. I am so grateful to have you in my life.

  76. The Amazing way to alter your life for the better!

  77. I appreciate your consideration. You have such a kind and also caring nature.

  78. The most impressive item ever before produced!

  79. I am in awe of your creative thinking and also creative imagination. You have such an contagious laugh!

  80. You constantly find the positive side in every circumstance. You have a great capability to adjust in any kind of circumstance.

  81. Spot on with this write-up, I absolutely believe this site needs much more attention. Iíll probably be back again to read through more, thanks for the advice!

  82. Wow loads of good material!

  83. Good web site you have got here.. Itís difficult to find excellent writing like yours these days. I really appreciate people like you! Take care!!

  84. Way cool! Some very valid points! I appreciate you penning this article and also the rest of the site is also very good.

  85. Fastidious answer back in return of this difficulty with real arguments and explaining everything on the topic
    of that.

    Take a look at my web page … http://www.secheresse.info/spip.php?article59995

  86. Thanks for the auspicious writeup. It in reality used to be a entertainment account it.
    Glance complex to far added agreeable from you!

    By the way, how could we be in contact?

    My site – jasa desain company Profile – winstarlink.com -

  87. Ucpdny says:

    best antihistamine decongestant combo exact allergy pills claritin allergy sinus 12hr costco

  88. Zvajen says:

    alternatives to allergy medication prescription only allergy medication allergy pills on sale

  89. FobertDrerm says:

    Cialis Comprar En EspaГ±a
    You are not similar to the expert :)
    Cialis 5 mg prezzo cialis 5 mg prezzo tadalafil 5 mg prezzo

  90. FobertDrerm says:

    Aviator Spribe играть
    The authoritative message :), curiously…
    Добро пожаловать в захватывающий мир авиаторов! Aviator – это увлекательная игра, которая позволит вам окунуться в атмосферу боевых действий на небе. Необычные графика и захватывающий сюжет сделают ваше путешествие по воздуху неповторимым.

    Станьте победителем с автоматом Aviator Spribe казино играть с друзьями в нашем онлайн казино!
    Aviator игра позволит вам почувствовать себя настоящим пилотом. Вам предстоит совершить невероятные маневры, выполнять сложные задания и сражаться с противниками. Улучшайте свой самолет, чтобы быть готовым к любым ситуациям и становиться настоящим мастером.
    Основные особенности Aviator краш игры:
    1. Реалистичная графика и физика – благодаря передовой графике и реалистичной физике вы почувствуете себя настоящим пилотом.
    2. Разнообразные режимы игры и миссии – в Aviator краш игре вы сможете выбрать различные режимы игры, такие как гонки, симулятор полетов и захватывающие воздушные бои. Кроме того, каждая миссия будет предлагать свои собственные вызовы и задачи.
    3. Улучшение и модернизация самолетов – в игре доступны различные модели самолетов, которые можно покупать и улучшать. Вы сможете устанавливать новое оборудование, улучшать двигательность и мощность своего самолета, а также выбирать различные варианты окраски и декорации.
    Aviator краш игра – это возможность испытать себя в роли авиатора и преодолеть все сложности и опасности воздушного пространства. Почувствуйте настоящую свободу и адреналин в Aviator краш игре онлайн!
    Играйте в «Авиатор» в онлайн-казино Pin-Up
    Aviator краш игра онлайн предлагает увлекательную и захватывающую игровую атмосферу, где вы становитесь настоящим авиатором и сражаетесь с самыми опасными искусственными интеллектами.
    В этой игре вы должны показать свое мастерство и смекалку, чтобы преодолеть сложности многочисленных локаций и уровней. Вам предстоит собирать бонусы, уклоняться от препятствий и сражаться с врагами, используя свои навыки пилотирования и стрельбы.
    Каждый уровень игры Aviator краш имеет свою уникальную атмосферу и задачи. Будьте готовы к неожиданностям, так как вас ждут захватывающие повороты сюжета и сложные испытания. Найдите все пути к победе и станьте настоящим героем авиатором!
    Авиатор игра является прекрасным способом провести время и испытать настоящий адреналиновый разряд. Готовы ли вы стать лучшим авиатором? Не упустите свой шанс и начните играть в Aviator краш прямо сейчас!
    Aviator – играй, сражайся, побеждай!
    Aviator Pin Up (Авиатор Пин Ап ) – игра на деньги онлайн Казахстан
    Aviator игра предлагает увлекательное и захватывающее разнообразие врагов и уровней, которые не оставят равнодушными даже самых требовательных геймеров.
    Враги в Aviator краш игре онлайн представлены в самых разных формах и размерах. Здесь вы встретите группы из маленьких и быстрых врагов, а также огромных боссов с мощным вооружением. Разнообразие врагов позволяет игрокам использовать разные тактики и стратегии для победы.
    Кроме того, Aviator игра предлагает разнообразие уровней сложности. Выберите легкий уровень, чтобы насладиться игровым процессом, или вызовите себе настоящий вызов, выбрав экспертный уровень. Независимо от выбранного уровня сложности, вы получите максимум удовольствия от игры и окунетесь в захватывающий мир авиаторов.
    Играйте в Aviator и наслаждайтесь разнообразием врагов и уровней, которые позволят вам почувствовать себя настоящим авиатором.

  91. EarnestDoogs says:

    It’s amazing to go to see this web page and reading the views of all colleagues regarding this paragraph, while I am also eager of getting experience.

    current price of bitcoin

  92. Lhanehed says:

    Мы предоставляем услуги Строительство домов из ЦСП под Ключ в Алматы, обеспечивая полный цикл работ от проектирования до завершения строительства. Наша команда опытных специалистов гарантирует высокое качество строительства и индивидуальный подход к каждому клиенту. Работаем с современными технологиями и материалами, чтобы создать дом вашей мечты в соответствии с вашими потребностями и ожиданиями.

  93. Scrap metal recycle Ferrous material advertising campaign Iron scrap reclaiming solutions

    Ferrous metal shearing, Iron scrap recovery strategies, Scrap metal reclamation depot

  94. Metal scraps buyback Ferrous material financials Iron reclamation plant

    Ferrous waste minimization, Iron scrap recycling, Environmental metal recycling

  95. StephenCig says:

    вегас гранд казино официальный сайт 2024
    vegas grand официальный сайт казино

  96. Metal cutting services Ferrous material recycling waste Iron waste reclaiming and reuse

    Ferrous material trading, Iron waste reclaiming services, Scrap metal shipping

  97. Metal retrieval Ferrous material recycling regulatory compliance Iron scrap shredding

    Ferrous material certifications, Iron waste recycling solutions, Metal recycling infrastructure

  98. TimsothyGeogs says:

    Hi there it’s me, I am also visiting this website on a regular basis, this web page is genuinely fastidious and the visitors are truly sharing fastidious thoughts.

    https://image.google.pn/url?q=https://hottelecom.biz/id/

  99. Sustainable metal recycling initiatives Ferrous metal logistics solutions Iron scrap logistics

    Ferrous scrap recycling efficiency, Iron recovery and reclaiming yard, Metal reclamation and repurposing

  100. IsmaelAdecy says:

    I am sorry, that has interfered… This situation is familiar To me. It is possible to discuss.
    Подробно расскажем, как Подать на алименты – Ногинский городской суд Московской области онлайн или самостоятельно Подать на алименты – Ногинский городской суд Московской области Подать на алименты – Ногинский городской суд Московской области онлайн или самостоятельно

  101. EarnestStipt says:

    Tadalafil 5 Mg
    I regret, that I can help nothing. I hope, you will find the correct decision. Do not despair.
    Cialis 5 mg prezzo cialis 5 mg prezzo tadalafil 5 mg prezzo

  102. Metal recovery and reclamation solutions Ferrous salvaging Iron material recovery services

    Ferrous metal recycling, Iron scrap brokerage, Scrap metal smelting

  103. StephenCig says:

    Aviator Spribe играть на евро
    Добро пожаловать в захватывающий мир авиаторов! Aviator – это увлекательная игра, которая позволит вам окунуться в атмосферу боевых действий на небе. Необычные графика и захватывающий сюжет сделают ваше путешествие по воздуху неповторимым.
    Aviator Spribe казино играть на гривны

  104. SDichaelPhelo says:

    Aviator Spribe казино играть выгодно
    Добро пожаловать в захватывающий мир авиаторов! Aviator – это увлекательная игра, которая позволит вам окунуться в атмосферу боевых действий на небе. Необычные графика и захватывающий сюжет сделают ваше путешествие по воздуху неповторимым.
    Aviator Spribe казино бонус

  105. IsmaelAdecy says:

    What’s up colleagues, how is everything, and what you want to say regarding this piece of writing, in my view its genuinely remarkable for me.

    Rybelsus

  106. I am sure this paragraph has touched all the internet people, its really really
    pleasant post on building up new weblog.

  107. OLanehed says:

    I blog often and I seriously thank you for your content. Your article has truly peaked my interest. I’m going to book mark your site and keep checking for new details about once a week. I opted in for your Feed too.
    Keyboard Foot Switches

Leave a Reply to minecraft Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>